TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a7…9e54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+83.5%+$500.85
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$170.75
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+211.8%+$126.28
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.5%+$33.45
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.1%+$146.25
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$95.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,307.74
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+99.4%+$2,324.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73.5%+$514.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,133.87
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$728.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$756.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$73.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+164.5%+$1,016.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$315.01
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.04
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,338.45
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+149.7%+$192.68
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$144.8
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+412.5%+$5,900.85
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,236.13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.3%+$9,768.65
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,213.08
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+86.1%+$2,860.2
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$196.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$241.18
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+105.4%+$526.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+67.8%+$720.93
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$49.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,151.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.4%+$39.4
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$154.45
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$148
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+292.3%+$734.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$259.16
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$235.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.