NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba0968026142248f3d6cfc1b817f3519de767703598fe4eb2b8f38ed5713d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6b…4d76backed Yes | 5c | 52,926$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,199$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 22,569$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.68 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 7c | 16,154$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 0c | 11,782$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…978bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,701$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 5c | 9,775$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 6c | 6,461$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 6,170$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…312bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…aebabacked Yes | 0c | 4,516$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf487…9262backed Yes | 0c | 4,446$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 4,369$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 4,302$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3ccebacked Yes | 1c | 4,293$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,978$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Yes | 7c | 3,650$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes | 2c | 3,372$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 7c | 3,300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 3c | 3,260$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…1787backed Yes | 3c | 3,229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…1005backed Yes | 4c | 3,024$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 2,910$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Yes | 3c | 2,882$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 2,803$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…afc8backed Yes | 1c | 2,439$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…a9a0backed Yes | 10c | 2,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,261$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 1c | 2,201$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,152$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,083$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…1259backed Yes | 5c | 2,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 76c | 2,031$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,016$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 9c | 1,868$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,660$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 5c | 1,632$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…72bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,504$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ae…c6eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,385$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Yes | 16c | 1,380$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c8…5799backed Yes | 6c | 1,328$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed No | 80c | 1,207$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,204$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 5c | 1,191$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…e978backed Yes | 4c | 1,180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…5dbcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,080$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,078$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed No | 65c | 999.99$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…6018backed Yes | 2c | 969.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…dfcabacked Yes | 1c | 918.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 71c | 899.99$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…3f15backed Yes | 1c | 888.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 68c | 876.21$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.86 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 6c | 864.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…3333backed Yes | 5c | 852.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 8c | 812.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b34cbacked Yes | 8c | 772.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…4a52backed Yes | 7c | 764.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…4f2bbacked Yes | 16c | 742.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 44c | 723.29$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…735bbacked Yes | 4c | 709.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 26c | 700$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 3c | 699.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed Yes | 3c | 699.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…1316backed Yes | 19c | 673.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed Yes | 6c | 605.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 21c | 575.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 79c | 549.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…abdabacked Yes | 4c | 520.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…9567backed Yes | 30c | 510.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…a3a1backed Yes | 23c | 509.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Yes | 2c | 495.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…7d5abacked Yes | 23c | 463.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…3632backed Yes | 3c | 462.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…2f11backed Yes | 5c | 462$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 70c | 456.4$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed Yes | 22c | 446.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…3bf8backed Yes | 3c | 438.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…5e53backed Yes | 5c | 426.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 4c | 412.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…a22abacked Yes | 25c | 410$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 20c | 402.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…b901backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 36c | 399.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed No | 76c | 397.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6e…719bbacked Yes | 25c | 391.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Yes | 5c | 390.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…388ebacked Yes | 21c | 388.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…c0cabacked Yes | 6c | 380$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?this page
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.