TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xece7…3673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$1,637
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.86
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.86
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$12.78
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$477.02
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.62
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$150.78
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$130.54
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
France vs. Spain: Team to Take First Cornerbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$73.59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$357.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$198.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$114.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$289.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$157
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$2,779.25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$91.51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$44.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.48
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$129.71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56%+$287.36
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.52
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.77
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$118.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$426.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$819.07
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.55
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$75.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+50%+$71.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+209.5%+$104.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$90.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.08
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.28
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.77
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+238%+$87.01
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.79
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.76
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$311.81
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.8%+$308.7
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41.8%+$10.62
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$305.59
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+106.8%+$36.15
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$31.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$182.9
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.77
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$184.25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$174.65
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$407.2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.5%+$115.35
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.02
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.94
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+160.9%+$185
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.9
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$103.98
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46%+$6.3
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.8%+$10.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.75
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.36
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+145.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$118.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+77.5%+$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$297.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.