MenuTailMyPicksEvent
EventMiddle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Wallets last checked .

Middle EastSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 11 wallets, $23,393 · No: 8 wallets, $647 8 of 19 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xb4b0…e14c#5 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$509c+$505.5666
0x8351…9beb#6 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7523c+$251.0965
0xde09…dbde#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13324c+$41764
0xfd59…0231#18 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12936c+$224.5963
0x6bc7…4ad4#24 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3015c+$17062
0x7272…a67d#80 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$52058c-$519.7660
Top 51 to 200
0xc390…2a1f#79 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7619c+$32460
0xb6ce…895d#176 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2679c-$26.0557
0xe17f…9d41#195 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10027c+$270.3757
0x62cf…5826#206 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5,13073c-$5,129.9557
0x987e…c3bd#272 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1178c-$11.0656
0x7803…9e91#336 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2375c-$22.6256
0xac76…9359#391 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3978c-$3955
0x0bb0…5a3a#436 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$10076c-$10055
0xece7…3673#451 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5427c+$14655
0x1a3c…4a4f#469 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2362c-$22.8954
0x9032…b5c3#704 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$55576c-$554.853
0x9ef5…5d4f#958 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$16,93077c-$16,929.5852
0x19e5…d7cd#1,336 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3775c-$37.4250
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.