TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x987e…c3bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.75
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$8.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$11.44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.94
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$46.1
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.65
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$26.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+191%+$57.29
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$19.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,388.2%+$183.18
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$60
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$13.09
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$4.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$8.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+310%+$64.15
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$6.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$6.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+180%+$23.23
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$4.31
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$26.65
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+55%+$8.88
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+605.8%+$426.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.73
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$17.18
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.1
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.96
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.35
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$12.11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104%+$37.68
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.9
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$33.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104%+$15.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Houston Cougars vs. Utah Utesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+249%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+249%+$24.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$2.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.