NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2749c8d903eb43d4be7ec2c3dc9608613089175450dab63022bf2dab042544f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed1…5132backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 37,524$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 18,694$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,783$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed Yes | 3c | 15,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…1999backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 13,908$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…6033backed Yes | 0c | 13,133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,391$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…fc66backed Yes | 1c | 9,804$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…2db6backed Yes | 1c | 8,809$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…8192backed Yes | 3c | 7,638$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3163…8b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,441$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…9190backed Yes | 3c | 6,727$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 6,208$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,696$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 5,443$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Yes | 0c | 5,413$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 2c | 5,387$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6b…4d76backed Yes | 4c | 4,878$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…281ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,470$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 4c | 4,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,052$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes | 4c | 3,654$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 14c | 3,612$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 6c | 3,611$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b0acbacked Yes | 2c | 3,492$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 15c | 3,417$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1a58backed Yes | 1c | 3,372$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…fb86backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,220$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 3,064$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…1005backed Yes | 4c | 2,497$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…748bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,494$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…97a7backed Yes | 9c | 2,111$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 2,023$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…5225backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 7c | 1,965$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 1,873$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,835$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988c…e006backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…6018backed Yes | 8c | 1,665$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 3c | 1,660$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 13c | 1,654$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…7c3abacked Yes | 7c | 1,630$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 1c | 1,585$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 3c | 1,557$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,555$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,533$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…312bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,438$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…be97backed Yes | 4c | 1,402$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…8c59backed Yes | 1c | 1,366$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c8…5799backed Yes | 6c | 1,335$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes | 1c | 1,327$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…1514backed Yes | 8c | 1,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…15f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,312$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,284$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…17cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,277$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,253$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…4b87backed Yes | 3c | 1,232$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,228$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499b…19eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…dd1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,212$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…c53abacked Yes | 2c | 1,209$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,193$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…680abacked Yes | 1c | 1,148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4013backed Yes | 4c | 1,142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…e056backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d1dabacked Yes | 6c | 1,116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…92b8backed Yes | 4c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 1c | 1,087$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…8619backed Yes | 22c | 1,087$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…accabacked Yes | 1c | 1,079$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Yes | 5c | 1,072$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,068$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 4c | 1,065$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 1,063$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed Yes | 15c | 1,060$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…e978backed Yes | 7c | 1,047$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…2d32backed Yes | 1c | 1,033$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,010$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,005$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Yes | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 17c | 998.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 10c | 990.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 4c | 989.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 5c | 969.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…db30backed Yes | 1c | 958$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 2c | 953.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…0b0bbacked Yes | 2c | 949.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 3c | 877.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 5c | 863.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 3c | 799.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 39c | 792.08$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?this page
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.