TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc589…0bd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48%+$479.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.82
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$714
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$504
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.92
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$949.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.1
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,125
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$855
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+159.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$896.1
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.5%+$528.34
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$178.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bearsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$594.83
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$205.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+89.6%+$358.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+36.2%+$164.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.1%+$992.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.