Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586ad2eddd652ad966e0758295a74589db3c433daf78abfa8f24fcdd9775a18b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $845,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $740,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 79c | 134,223$105,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,636.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 8c | 110,718$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,635.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 16c | 51,762$8,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.7 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 13c | 31,417$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.3 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 9c | 27,617$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 24c | 21,597$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.61 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…ad7cbacked Yes | 21c | 20,480$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 49c | 19,998$9,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 34c | 13,017$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.05 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…2e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 10,422$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 8,517$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 7,158$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.51 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,524$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 6,126$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.66 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 22c | 5,505$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.16 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 55c | 4,995$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 4,700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 12c | 3,529$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 3,360$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 15c | 3,330$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 3c | 3,136$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 32c | 2,806$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,794$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…fd47backed Yes | 3c | 2,757$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…5f01backed Yes | 3c | 2,643$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…ea05backed Yes | 1c | 2,571$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 19c | 2,559$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.26 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 20c | 2,213$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.39 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…3529backed Yes | 1c | 2,145$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,094$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…6ca4backed Yes | 49c | 2,090$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…36f6backed Yes | 14c | 2,026$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 1,962$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,926$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 21c | 1,900$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,868$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 5c | 1,702$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 12c | 1,687$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,592$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 2c | 1,580$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,503$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…8f9cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,441$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 14c | 1,277$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,268$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 54c | 1,189$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1c5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,178$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +629.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,097$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…a945backed Yes | 2c | 1,023$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 5c | 996.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 5c | 948.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 54c | 933.76$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.23 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Yes | 2c | 930.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 50c | 928.43$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…4f21backed No | 52c | 895.07$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 3c | 860.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…ae4abacked Yes | 16c | 799.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Yes | 33c | 766.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…28aabacked Yes | 6c | 720.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…7b20backed Yes | 49c | 713.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 706.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 48c | 619.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…a653backed Yes | 20c | 617.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed Yes | 20c | 595.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…c4e4backed Yes | 9c | 591.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 579.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…4e4cbacked No | 66c | 574.36$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…70e3backed Yes | 18c | 555.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 16c | 552.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 5c | 528.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 53c | 497.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…62dfbacked Yes | 5c | 442.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…8465backed Yes | 29c | 439.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…0b43backed Yes | 2c | 439.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…a096backed No | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…e120backed Yes | 8c | 382.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 6c | 361.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…47cbbacked Yes | 35c | 348.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 19c | 342.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 59c | 316.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…048dbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…64d4backed Yes | 31c | 290.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…11c4backed Yes | 6c | 274.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…1187backed Yes | 5c | 269.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 52c | 268.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 34c | 254.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 32c | 217.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…5847backed Yes | 10c | 208.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e114backed Yes | 44c | 208.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fbafbacked Yes | 17c | 207.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e73ebacked Yes | 6c | 207.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 51c | 182.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…f290backed Yes | 7c | 179.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…1e65backed No | 53c | 179.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 53c | 176.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…cf96backed Yes | 17c | 176.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.