Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16174cbbce60a7581b088ecaf5232bf9847a392c56b95a441edca4ebf25790fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 15c | 6,350$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.88 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 65c | 6,099$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.72 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked No | 26c | 5,813$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 80c | 5,147$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.4 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked No | 19c | 4,982$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 79c | 4,569$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.15 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,607$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…6ca4backed No | 31c | 2,515$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed No | 11c | 2,410$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed No | 36c | 1,816$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 36c | 1,766$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.76 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 1,652$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 69c | 1,386$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed No | 17c | 950$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…c782backed No | 30c | 929.17$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…4e4cbacked No | 25c | 876.36$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 10c | 870.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…3c6abacked Yes | 66c | 742.07$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 606.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked No | 7c | 584.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…c199backed Yes | 69c | 539.98$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed No | 26c | 454.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…213dbacked Yes | 72c | 451.93$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…dfd5backed No | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 8c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…e850backed Yes | 77c | 393.95$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 74c | 386.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 66c | 332.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 68c | 326.66$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 9c | 303.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed No | 9c | 287.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 68c | 278.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…56dcbacked No | 33c | 266.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 31c | 180.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…752fbacked No | 16c | 176.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 68c | 140.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 71c | 134.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…4bc6backed Yes | 78c | 121.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…00e4backed No | 23c | 120.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…564dbacked No | 17c | 105.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…98bdbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…67a3backed No | 16c | 98.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3af…9fe8backed Yes | 71c | 95.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…206bbacked Yes | 62c | 94.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 25c | 93.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…0d11backed No | 29c | 89.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…4b15backed No | 30c | 89.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…0e22backed No | 33c | 81.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +312.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…ba18backed Yes | 66c | 79.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Yes | 70c | 74.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…4b6abacked Yes | 69c | 73.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…ff75backed No | 33c | 73.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…1d89backed No | 33c | 58.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…0602backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…98e3backed No | 32c | 49.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…04d3backed Yes | 68c | 47.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed No | 33c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e5…e3cdbacked Yes | 72c | 45.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…ec5bbacked No | 23c | 44.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…456ebacked No | 33c | 41.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…b263backed Yes | 76c | 38.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked No | 39c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…cffbbacked Yes | 72c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…83babacked Yes | 66c | 28.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…9652backed Yes | 69c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 67c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.