TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a44…5e33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
483
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5360.4%32 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$36.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$496.59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$426
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+173%+$2,408
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.81
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61%+$682
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$61.05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$379.57
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$131.26
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$800
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,738.86
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+46.4%+$31.7
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+94.9%+$236.24
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+45.5%+$219
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.4%+$70
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+113.6%+$58.5
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$122
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$24.3
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.7%+$51.9
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.31
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.89
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solana reach $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.55
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$347
Will Solana reach $110 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$42.62
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.84
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.7%+$45.8
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.8%+$97
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$105.3
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.8%+$24.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.8%+$97
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$212.39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$150
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$9.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.5%+$8.94
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37.2%+$69.73
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.4%+$126.54
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.56
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$343.3
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+46%+$63
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.32
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$71.99
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,236.79
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$134.68
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$21.5
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$57.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory (BO3)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.2%+$14.71
Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$73.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.6%+$151
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+32.5%+$50.86
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+34.8%+$79.66
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.1%+$34.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$709.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$345.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+217.8%+$198.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+77.1%+$285.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.5%+$98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$336.4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$4.75
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$151.27
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77.1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68.25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150.99
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.1%+$252.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.1%+$111.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.7%+$41.54
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$10.8
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$404.68
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.7%+$141
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.99
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$56.1
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.28
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.4
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$791.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.78
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$63.99
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.3%+$193.47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.6%+$86.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+41.2%+$26.53
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.6%+$93.96
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$253.26
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$784
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$798
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$143.46
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$302
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$72
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$148.16
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$60.48
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$152
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$377.38
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$288
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.74
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+140%+$350
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$33.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$11.73
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$78.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$26.14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$42.8
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$87.48
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.1%+$88.27
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$26.93
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$51.53
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+32.2%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bucharest: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Cezar Gabriel Papoebacked Cezar Gabriel Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liubacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munarbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.99
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.