Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464d77a3a42211fb8e2671cb4183c78b52e59b4f8293907d49bd496fa66df894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Runa Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,810$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.59 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Runa Team | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Runa Team | 30c | 964.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…8cbdbacked Runa Team | 28c | 705.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 72c | 575.22$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Runa Team | 26c | 436.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 319.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team | 27c | 244.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Runa Team | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Runa Team | 17c | 115.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Runa Team | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Runa Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Liquid | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Liquid | 79c | 96.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Runa Team | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Liquid | 71c | 59.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…b6cbbacked Runa Team | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Team Liquid | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)Runa Team won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 1 WinnerRuna Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.