Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ddf91f866913a400ce88c62a1b78497f81ef98c6be79363b97b67866cf5e00

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Runa Teamof Team Liquid, Runa Team
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $213,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $237,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,268 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid	39c	10,776$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,217.18	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Runa Team	20c	6,400$1,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,088.01	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Runa Team	59c	5,516$3,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,237.56	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Runa Team	32c	5,371$1,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.27	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Runa Team	66c	4,436$2,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.61	254	44.5%113 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid	22c	4,259$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.66	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d83…b76bbacked Team Liquid	3c	3,712$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.7	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid	39c	3,619$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.79	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Runa Team	54c	3,357$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,547.38	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid	49c	3,346$1,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.4	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid	33c	3,218$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.19	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Team Liquid	80c	3,200$2,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Runa Team	55c	3,044$1,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,381.37	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Runa Team	53c	2,932$1,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,375.78	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid	38c	2,838$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.08	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid	72c	2,481$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.82	122	56.6%69 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team	26c	2,276$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.46	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Team Liquid	49c	2,000$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Runa Team	49c	1,976$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.4	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid	17c	1,923$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.05	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x632c…4629backed Team Liquid	40c	1,735$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Runa Team	19c	1,672$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,346.43	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid	20c	1,643$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.28	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid	43c	1,573$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.1	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Runa Team	17c	1,522$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.26	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid	46c	1,475$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.63	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Team Liquid	53c	1,454$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Team Liquid	14c	1,405$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.92	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Runa Team	48c	1,400$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.91	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Runa Team	72c	1,390$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.44	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid	49c	1,364$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.38	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Runa Team	21c	1,356$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.4	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Runa Team	34c	1,298$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.33	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Runa Team	20c	1,260$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.93	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Runa Team	15c	1,252$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.44	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Team Liquid	41c	1,158$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.07	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid	27c	1,150$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.83	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid	76c	1,147$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.38	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2c…6962backed Runa Team	40c	1,075$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Runa Team	69c	1,074$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.8	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Runa Team	77c	1,041$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.77	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Liquid	77c	1,036$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.21	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Runa Team	15c	1,000$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	199	43.2%86 W · 113 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Liquid	79c	999.98$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.98	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Runa Team	61c	949.42$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.43	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Runa Team	61c	873.6$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.57	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Team Liquid	60c	853.83$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.7	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Runa Team	18c	799.98$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.99	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid	51c	799.98$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.99	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Runa Team	45c	768$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.24	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Runa Team	9c	739.21$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.23	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Liquid	78c	725.03$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.52	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2f…9716backed Team Liquid	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Liquid	23c	713.58$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.62	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70d7…2511backed Team Liquid	37c	703.82$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Runa Team	56c	654.99$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.05	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid	34c	598$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.92	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Runa Team	17c	595.62$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.36	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Runa Team	59c	571.39$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.23	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Liquid	8c	562.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.27	168	35.7%60 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid	41c	531.42$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.95	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Runa Team	49c	519.23$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Runa Team	18c	480$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.65	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Team Liquid	37c	471.73$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.19	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Runa Team	64c	470.31$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.31	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Runa Team	20c	466.96$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.85	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	32cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Runa Team	16c	443.65$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.26	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e7…4152backed Runa Team	70c	430.79$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.79	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Liquid	51c	424.25$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.37	132	38.6%51 W · 81 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Team Liquid	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Runa Team	73c	377.5$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Liquid	63c	341.38$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	94	78.7%74 W · 20 L	+13.0wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Runa Team	32c	311.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.36	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Runa Team	30c	300$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55e…c136backed Team Liquid	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Team Liquid	71c	282.47$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid	50c	266.24$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.12	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Runa Team	80c	265.41$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Runa Team	48c	254.17$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.17	292	45.9%134 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Runa Team	17c	252.86$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.87	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+26%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfccc…c862backed Team Liquid	42c	240.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Runa Team	15c	231$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.29	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Runa Team	25c	229$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Team Liquid	76c	227.72$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.07	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f95…38ffbacked Team Liquid	22c	224.59$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.87	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Runa Team	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Team Liquid	42c	221$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.68	205	35.1%72 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb3…12c6backed Team Liquid	75c	215.77$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-55%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid	47c	212.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Runa Team	46c	208.3$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.95	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Runa Team	20c	203.72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.63	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid	52c	201.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	436	47.5%207 W · 229 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Runa Team	16c	201$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.59	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	40cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid	77c	200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Runa Team	59c	198.09$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.22	656	25.6%168 W · 488 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Team Liquid	30c	195.81$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Runa Team	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63b3…f676backed Runa Team	70c	185.71$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Runa Team	30c	183.15$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.24	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)this page
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 1 WinnerRuna Team won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event