TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a05…4c5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
358
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT19168.6%131 W · 60 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Team Phantasma to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.63
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
First Blood in Game 2?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.73
First Blood in Game 1?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$289.37
First Blood in Game 3?backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.38
First Blood in Game 1?backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$14.61
First Blood in Game 4?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.2
First Blood in Game 1?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47%+$5.06
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.98
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$31.07
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$15.54
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$214
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$99
LoL: Bubliki vs Ronaldo Team (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$226.27
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$166.37
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs strongboys - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+36.1%+$10.6
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+50%+$10
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Execration (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39.64
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.6%+$50.54
Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.94
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+27%+$29
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$38.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.61
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Abacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$40.38
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+74.7%+$100.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+68%+$32.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.26
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$54.84
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+39.5%+$78.96
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+39.1%+$29.04
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.7%+$72.04
ASB Classic: Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wangbacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Brisbane International: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25.1%+$46.38
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+102.1%+$27.9
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.42
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+43.4%+$26.26
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+80.3%+$143.88
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+34.7%+$90.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Bbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$203.43
Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$329.19
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$205.04
Valorant: Çilekler vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$171.63
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ARETE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$101.39
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+2.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+678.1%+$248.39
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.68
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.2%+$10.07
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)backed Vibranium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+79.3%+$153.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$56.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.6%+$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$203.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.