TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ff1…c775backed Yes70c42,832$29,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,922.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c37,883$14,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,559.951,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c15,806$11,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,773.7996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes22c14,449$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,270.523141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes71c10,012$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c7,743$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.8593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes30c6,733$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes40c4,979$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No51c4,093$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.044656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c3,278$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No46c3,021$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.862334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.574445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes23c2,176$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.527656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes73c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes22c1,952$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.075933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No76c1,938$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.4834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes66c1,635$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes18c1,460$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.0136630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c1,226$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.7928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No80c1,173$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes28c1,117$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.721435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No52c1,091$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked No80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes22c940.95$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.942055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No28c871.51$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.873740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c864$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.2829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes23c822.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.174320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe64…b3a7backed Yes20c800$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes19c755.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7512923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Yes25c699.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c682.1$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes39c647.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.369054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No59c646.71$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes22c615.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.052441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c609$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1111964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.064131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes22c600$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No34c567.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes41c563.69$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0413658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed No41c522.43$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.922123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c519.98$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1712929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes72c519.7$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes25c509.09$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0469…c10abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.785856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes33c393.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.941533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes30c379.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.184136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Yes66c355.02$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes46c346$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes69c323.81$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No60c310$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9228445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No59c306.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24326046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+151.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Yes70c284.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No53c265.57$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No46c252.57$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6911529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.57544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Yes20c249$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes49c246.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.052250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39f…ed6ebacked Yes22c245.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes45c222.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.662040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes20c216.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c204.93$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c202.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed No71c197.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Yes72c193.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.824447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed No28c180.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes28c179.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.435450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.912030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No79c173.39$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No61c151.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes17c146.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.321631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed No67c145$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.15540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes35c142.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No36c141.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.812737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced5…71c2backed Yes34c131.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes32c129$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes19c126.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.322955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes32c126.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcff…b40fbacked No67c123$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No80c120$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf2…26d7backed Yes22c120$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0266…2957backed Yes36c110.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1011…c067backed Yes27c110.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.14650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c110$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes68c109.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.162653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes18c109.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8413040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes19c108$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4820741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No36c105.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7215450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…c8f2backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+231.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes24c104.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.293225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.