TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b35…12b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
545
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT23735.4%84 W · 153 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$36.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+55%+$9.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+189%+$65.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$19.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$64.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+371.9%+$167.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$13.03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+1,080.6%+$183.68
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$93.58
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$97.47
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$4.44
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.39
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$16.07
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$16.39
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$59.8
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$16.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$80.84
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69%+$17.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$26.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.3
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$10.58
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.68
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.87
Will Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$5.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.98
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34%+$6.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$24.6
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$13.71
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.72
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.7%+$67.43
Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$10.91
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$38.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$21.32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$49.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+109%+$15.45
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.72
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+257.7%+$72.05
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+48.7%+$9.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.5%+$30.3
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.2%+$16.6
Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$12.58
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$72.37
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$25.12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$4.5
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+54.8%+$10.95
CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$26.71
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$2.84
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52.86
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57.8
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.64
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$11.95
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39%+$4.29
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$712.86
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$156.32
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+399.5%+$163.96
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.67
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.3%+$57.1
All 7 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-68%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+62.6%+$7.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$23.75
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.5%+$25.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.