Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace1187cff133fa44ab4a4ba13702f9926ca68f75c5e8b3418b896d0dee23020

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $426,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $252,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	0c	19,830$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	0c	15,362$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	6c	12,257$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.56	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	11,433$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.09	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	7,300$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.98	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	0c	7,298$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	5,581$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.92	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	4c	5,317$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.75	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	3c	4,998$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.2	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	4,715$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.27	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	4,676$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.78	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,182$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	4,141$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	5c	3,495$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	1c	3,435$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.26	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	3c	3,269$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.86	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	4c	3,218$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.79	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	13c	3,104$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.97	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	13c	3,086$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.91	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	4c	3,068$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.22	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	2,999$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.39	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	2,781$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	18c	2,601$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.57	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	2,594$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.71	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	10c	2,516$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.61	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	2,296$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.33	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	7c	2,200$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	10c	2,068$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.61	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	2,065$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.29	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	18c	2,063$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.35	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	14c	2,059$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.46	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	2,028$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.53	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	26c	2,000$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.16	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	1,950$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.5	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af6…a114backed Yes	18c	1,825$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.68	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Yes	22c	1,791$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d88…1d65backed Yes	23c	1,743$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	1c	1,600$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	1,596$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.88	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	26c	1,507$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.47	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	20c	1,484$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.89	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	2c	1,431$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	1,401$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	1,397$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	3c	1,350$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	72c	1,317$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.71	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	2c	1,315$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	16c	1,272$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.93	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	11c	1,258$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	11c	1,128$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.29	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	17c	1,127$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.71	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	5c	1,079$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,070$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	1,056$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	19c	1,056$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	1,045$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.77	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	1,045$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.12	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	10c	1,040$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.01	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…3684backed Yes	22c	1,021$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.79	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4b…525fbacked Yes	14c	1,016$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.29	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	5c	1,015$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	18c	1,014$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.34	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	1,012$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.64	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	34c	999.99$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x409c…9ac8backed Yes	6c	974.55$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.71	121	24%29 W · 92 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	3c	959.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	937.07$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	900.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	10c	879.98$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.92	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	12c	799.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	792.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	69c	790$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.78	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	778.95$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.79	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Yes	20c	766.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	7c	752.27$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.73	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	27c	732.4$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	7c	727.88$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	17c	720.29$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.68	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	720$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.14	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	7c	710$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	15c	700.98$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.64	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	78c	678.73$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.21	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	17c	670.78$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.84	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	11c	654.88$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	3c	652$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	12c	628.28$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.77	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2e…4f3dbacked Yes	24c	627.31$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	15c	610.91$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	15c	602.31$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	72c	600$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	4c	596.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	7c	581.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	11c	571.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	562.7$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.54	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event