Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e1af8379b35607487dbc0c0e71fd604796bce256ee995f09d5f8e5bea46c90

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $582,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $374,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	18c	36,024$6,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,545.78	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	18,527$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.73	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	13c	10,734$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.01	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	10,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	9,684$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.49	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	13c	8,316$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.45	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	1c	8,044$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.97	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	13c	7,947$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.45	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	7,231$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.11	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	6,797$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.44	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	15c	6,097$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.81	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	17c	5,431$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.34	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	21c	5,150$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.99	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,090$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	5,000$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	5,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	20c	4,526$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.98	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	15c	4,501$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.33	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	6c	4,442$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.08	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	12c	4,425$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.44	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	12c	4,141$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.82	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	11c	4,033$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.27	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	18c	4,031$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.64	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	15c	3,911$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.24	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	5c	3,819$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.8	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	3,746$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.48	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	3,715$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.13	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	21c	3,466$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.13	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	3,128$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.93	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed No	80c	3,088$2,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.89	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	21c	3,061$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.39	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	3,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	23c	2,860$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.1	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	8c	2,768$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.62	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	2,700$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	77c	2,531$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.52	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	28c	2,378$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.12	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	6c	2,170$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.68	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	19c	2,001$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.83	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	1,987$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.35	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe8…7cd0backed Yes	13c	1,937$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	1,935$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.72	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	1,899$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.83	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	15c	1,843$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.15	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	23c	1,719$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.13	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	25c	1,709$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.46	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa768…cbd7backed Yes	1c	1,627$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	3c	1,571$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	11c	1,554$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.45	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked No	79c	1,518$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.32	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	7c	1,518$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	8c	1,500$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	1,500$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	1,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	2c	1,496$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	23c	1,452$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.73	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	6c	1,433$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.87	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	18c	1,427$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	25c	1,405$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.02	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	7c	1,355$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.83	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	24c	1,330$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.36	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	1,306$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	7c	1,300$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.34	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	26c	1,285$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.87	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	1c	1,271$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	24c	1,265$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.95	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,261$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.48	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	74c	1,230$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.37	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	15c	1,210$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.39	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338d…6fd4backed Yes	25c	1,202$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.88	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,182$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	16c	1,150$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.96	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	25c	1,099$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.41	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	1,054$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.25	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3742…150cbacked No	74c	1,029$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.37	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	18c	987.42$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.18	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	20c	984.47$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.71	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	5c	949.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	13c	931.84$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	24c	919.48$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.46	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	78c	917.01$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.07	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed No	73c	905$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.05	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	10c	896.87$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.44	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	22c	892.24$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.59	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked Yes	12c	877.62$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.61	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	13c	876.04$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.13	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	8c	875.74$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes	12c	873.49$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	21c	873$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.35	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe178…0c26backed Yes	22c	858.61$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.92	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	22c	832.39$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.45	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	10c	820.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.71	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	815$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.99	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8a…edf9backed No	74c	806$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.75	51	74.5%38 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	37c	801.18$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.4	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	72c	798.64$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.94	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	5c	796.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.02	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event