Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe38df5038d4c96bfb9472aedc9e633c7ad6dea4d96602d3fd3729db7c63bdf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 11,034$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…6197backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 0c | 10,522$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes | 0c | 9,885$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 326 | 15.6%51 W · 275 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…d7b6backed Yes | 1c | 9,759$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…dc53backed Yes | 1c | 8,129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…473abacked Yes | 1c | 7,510$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3ccebacked Yes | 0c | 6,587$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,589$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 5,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed No | 79c | 5,054$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.61 | 232 | 17.7%41 W · 191 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,985$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 155 | 7.7%12 W · 143 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 21c | 4,761$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.51 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 8c | 4,599$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 4,541$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,387$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 3,580$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 186 | 3.8%7 W · 179 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…8a7cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,037$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 22c | 2,469$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 32c | 2,420$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.48 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…851fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,410$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.07 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 10c | 2,380$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…ba69backed Yes | 2c | 2,364$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 158 | 17.7%28 W · 130 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 16c | 2,081$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 66c | 2,054$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…f144backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 73c | 1,785$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,657$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 1,455$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.33 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Yes | 17c | 1,440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,432$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed Yes | 20c | 1,300$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…26f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,285$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed Yes | 5c | 1,285$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,222$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,019$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.84 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…dd07backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 26c | 998.79$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.45 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 20c | 998.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes | 39c | 982.81$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed No | 76c | 950.41$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes | 28c | 948.38$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 22c | 924.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…3e31backed No | 74c | 915.56$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 863.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes | 7c | 840.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…3d4fbacked Yes | 24c | 829.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 14c | 824.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes | 24c | 807.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 94 | 16%15 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 30c | 804.8$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 37c | 800.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 73c | 790.66$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 790$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 28c | 782.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…3684backed Yes | 21c | 735.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 6c | 704.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 29c | 698.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed Yes | 33c | 680$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 76c | 656.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 650.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 32c | 629.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 20c | 628.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 149 | 13.4%20 W · 129 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 76c | 608.62$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Yes | 22c | 605.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…430fbacked No | 75c | 599.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 188 | 77.1%145 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 26c | 599.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 587.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…2d98backed Yes | 14c | 578.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…ec93backed No | 80c | 565.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 80cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 22c | 531.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…0985backed Yes | 2c | 520.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 15c | 509.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 4c | 501.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes | 29c | 499.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4859backed Yes | 8c | 492.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 233 | 14.2%33 W · 200 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 33c | 475.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…0296backed Yes | 12c | 464.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 193 | 14%27 W · 166 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…4529backed Yes | 22c | 444.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 19c | 443.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…77a9backed Yes | 20c | 441.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes | 24c | 432.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 22c | 429.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.