Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b7da3b98f11960ed16c63e5fc2ba886e14ba2fe2fbdf82e0929eb7c4258216

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,345 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	11,096$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cd…bf40backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…3fb7backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	21c	3,500$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	3,383$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.54	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	15c	2,647$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.45	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	14c	2,627$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.72	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,500$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.1	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	2,241$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.33	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	8c	2,150$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.4	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	10c	2,145$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.01	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	17c	2,013$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.97	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	6c	2,000$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	79c	1,903$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.22	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	16c	1,882$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.42	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	26c	1,804$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.6	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	18c	1,782$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.74	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	1,742$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.91	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	13c	1,649$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.7	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	20c	1,625$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.85	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	78c	1,500$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	73c	1,391$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.16	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	4c	1,245$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	1,222$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.27	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	10c	1,199$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.38	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…b2b8backed Yes	1c	1,171$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	24c	1,098$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.96	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	1c	1,067$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	16c	1,000$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.75	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	29c	932.55$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.44	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	24c	838.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	794.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	19c	772.67$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.48	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	23c	754.82$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	25c	707.64$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	74c	675$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.5	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	16c	669.81$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.29	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes	26c	666.92$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.82	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	20c	661.59$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.36	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c5…dd45backed Yes	8c	650$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	78c	578.3$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.05	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0085…a8fcbacked Yes	18c	547.81$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	7c	535.7$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	522.33$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.83	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes	25c	484.51$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.4	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	15c	483.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	19c	477.61$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	155	19.4%30 W · 125 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	23c	460.37$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.89	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	19c	430.55$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.8	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35af…94bbbacked Yes	20c	428.14$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	15c	426.56$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	17c	421.34$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.63	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	412.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	8c	410.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	20c	400$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d8…06c4backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	23c	385.43$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	25c	382.5$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.53	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	13c	365.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…3684backed Yes	15c	363$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fc…d760backed Yes	12c	344.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	16c	343.74$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	337.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.62	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	21c	314$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28e…01bfbacked Yes	23c	264.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	117	4.3%5 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	21c	237.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.46	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	25c	234.02$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	12c	206.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	194.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaee…8911backed Yes	24c	187.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	71c	179.65$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.1	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	13c	179.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	20c	171.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.97	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	8c	164.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Yes	25c	159.77$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9aa…b8b3backed Yes	28c	143.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	17c	143.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	12c	139.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd83…680abacked Yes	16c	139.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…3801backed Yes	13c	131.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	75c	130.97$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.09	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c12…ec79backed No	78c	130.09$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.76	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cc…fe89backed Yes	17c	130$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	18c	122.01$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	145	13.8%20 W · 125 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x580f…e755backed Yes	18c	121$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	76c	120$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	17c	114.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	21c	112.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	27c	111.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event