Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe2403473b7b181e5ed1f4e39570d1b7ad3dd414aea5aa99f28a19e66ed1151

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $442,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $416,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,528 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	43c	10,660$4,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,553.81	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	40c	10,185$4,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,157.82	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	75c	9,684$7,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,375.52	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	37c	9,172$3,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,768.09	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	0c	9,155$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	50c	7,321$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,679.67	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	6,432$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,165.53	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	65c	5,036$3,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,740.54	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	41c	4,334$1,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560.61	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0085…a8fcbacked Yes	6c	3,970$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,732.84	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	40c	3,601$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,177.42	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	3,542$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,892.72	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	51c	3,471$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.74	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	3,432$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,259.94	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	53c	3,063$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.54	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	65c	3,047$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993.88	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	42c	2,934$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710.91	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	50c	2,919$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.39	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	42c	2,528$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.09	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	35c	2,449$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.63	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	45c	2,377$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,307.94	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	53c	2,265$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.83	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	63c	2,200$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.86	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	57c	2,171$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.85	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	30c	2,115$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.88	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,070$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016.75	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	36c	2,027$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.87	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	2,000$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.81	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	3c	2,000$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,946.92	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	41c	1,912$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.53	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	5c	1,844$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	25c	1,822$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,362.87	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	34c	1,772$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.75	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	57c	1,743$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.58	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	34c	1,687$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.76	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	26c	1,686$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.87	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,683$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.32	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	52c	1,640$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.2	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af6…a114backed Yes	39c	1,552$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$948.88	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	59c	1,513$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.13	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338d…6fd4backed Yes	64c	1,508$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.04	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	72c	1,505$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.78	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	34c	1,422$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.68	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	1,419$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.27	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	78c	1,400$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.66	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	34c	1,364$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.07	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fe8…6e25backed No	75c	1,303$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No	9c	1,290$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.71	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	22c	1,282$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.78	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	58c	1,266$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.82	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	19c	1,243$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.63	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	78c	1,216$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.18	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	31c	1,216$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.5	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	30c	1,167$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.91	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	58c	1,153$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.07	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	63c	1,132$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.37	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	27c	1,111$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.87	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	63c	1,067$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.01	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	42c	1,009$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.17	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	2c	1,000$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	38c	999.99$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.75	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	992$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.6	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	980$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.87	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	18c	958.93$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.24	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	19c	911.44$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.64	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	58c	897$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.83	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	34c	894.56$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.16	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	27c	866.87$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.07	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	7c	850$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	31c	846.22$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.22	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	48c	834.81$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.8	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	24c	830$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.14	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Yes	2c	816.35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.98per pick	2cpaid	+3,981.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	47c	808.56$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.6	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	19c	801.09$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.86	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	28c	799.99$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.89	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed No	45c	795.82$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.53	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	27c	784.21$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.69	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	27c	764$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.25	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	48c	721.92$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.97	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	5c	721.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	24c	713.69$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.36	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	74c	685.72$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.94	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	12c	685.5$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.61	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	33c	667.71$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.13	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes	32c	664.39$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.81	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	16c	642.35$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.28	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Yes	54c	604.15$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.71	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	28c	600$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.6	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	75c	600$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x292f…918dbacked Yes	56c	598.63$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.18	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes	71c	598.48$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.15	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	31c	589.19$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.59	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	28c	550.18$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.76	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	3c	539.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.43	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes	78c	534.71$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.27	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	7c	534.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.28	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Yes	69c	525$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.71	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc594…e5c5backed Yes	35c	515.89$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	511.03$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.47	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event