TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd5c…6d2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
983
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 58 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT62539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 625 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$431.82
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+398.7%+$409.19
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$456.03
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$61.13
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.84
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.79
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.9
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$134.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.44
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$61.91
Showing 25 of 625 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.71
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$124.04
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$34.62
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,408.7
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$342.74
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$185.38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.74
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+587.8%+$111.08
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$78.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$61.65
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$65.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+151%+$60.17
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.77
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.8%+$33.01
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+178.2%+$30.36
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$78.71
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56.94
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.92
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+111%+$82.91
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked alohasquad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs alohasquad - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$53.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+240.4%+$51.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$92.2
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+124%+$72.91
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Aurora Gaming win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs Change The Game - Map 1 Winnerbacked The QUBE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.11
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+64.9%+$13.67
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.13
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+629.9%+$172.6
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$84.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+292.6%+$131.39
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$690.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.66
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62.22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+159.7%+$61.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+82.5%+$73.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$79.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$326.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$87.64
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$42.15
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$91.64
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$89.85
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$21.52
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$105.65
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.52
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+620.7%+$134.96
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$274.15
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$35.68
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.67
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$22.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$228.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$51.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$101.98
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$53.99
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Starmer say "Kanye" or "West" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.17
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.24
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31%+$26.97
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.35
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30.54
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$60
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.2%+$8.73
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90.64
Will Keir Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75.51
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40.67
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questionsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Keir Starmer say "Cost of Living" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+67.5%+$19.1
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+95.9%+$39.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+105.9%+$31.99
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Keir Starmer say "Austerity" or "Spending Cut" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$79.01
Will Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+62.8%+$103.2
Will Keir Starmer say "G20" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+68.4%+$52.44
All 23 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.3%+$20
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.28
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.4%+$27.64
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.41
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$175.38
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+203%+$264.75
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+376.2%+$132.25
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.37
Will Trump say "Epstein" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Trump say "Military Equipment" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.43
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Will Trump say "China" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+110.8%+$18.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$72.04
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" during the medal presentation on December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" during the medal presentation on December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.3%+$28.88
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$14.95
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Melania say "School" during statement on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.56
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.5%+$11.42
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+36.1%+$23.11
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+107.7%+$73.08
Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+27.9%+$3.01
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Sam Altman say "Creativity" or "Artist" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$54.79
Will Sam Altman say "Robot" or "Robotic" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Sam Altman say "Meme" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$25
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.79
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$39.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$54.67
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.7%+$18.74
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.4
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.81
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.6%+$41.53
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.82
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+265.3%+$108.24
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$24
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+45.8%+$31.4
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+204.9%+$156.89
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$43.2
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$192.88
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$74.11
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43.8
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.43
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$77.69
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.17
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+199%+$59.9
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.6
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+285.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.35
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.33
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$162.28
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$251.46
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$36.05
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$277.49
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+3,370.9%+$2,695.07
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$79.73
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$24.8
Will "White House" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+949%+$271.4
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.88
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+176.6%+$76.82
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+353.6%+$74.01
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71.56
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.71
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$50
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$50
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+62.7%+$42.4
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 3 Winnerbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$344.41
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.9%+$82
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.19
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.6%+$24.74
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.55
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$113.09
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$112.58
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.3%+$5.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Snowflake say "Iceberg" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+271.2%+$80.12
Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75.1
Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$67.73
Will Dell say "Zoho" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75%+$15
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+84.2%+$32
Will NVIDIA say "Cosmos" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will NVIDIA say "Omniverse" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.26
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$53.02
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR - Map 1 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+116.3%+$25.64
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$86.63
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+659.5%+$104.2
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+232.3%+$153.8
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$107.3
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55.84
Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.6%+$56.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.