Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73697ca41326860512e807928e47d03a89cc0218bc0c03a62ebf95b001c480cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meavedronof Meavedron, EXILE esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed EXILE esports | 36c | 1,714$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.23 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Meavedron | 64c | 1,514$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.86 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Meavedron | 80c | 1,457$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.86 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Meavedron | 68c | 1,336$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed EXILE esports | 38c | 1,264$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed EXILE esports | 47c | 1,230$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.28 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Meavedron | 65c | 750$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Meavedron | 58c | 710$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed EXILE esports | 8c | 699$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed EXILE esports | 21c | 600$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed EXILE esports | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b3babacked Meavedron | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Meavedron | 63c | 307.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Meavedron | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Meavedron | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Meavedron | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked EXILE esports | 37c | 149.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Meavedron | 61c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Meavedron | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed EXILE esports | 26c | 43.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Meavedron | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed EXILE esports | 42c | 35.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Meavedron | 70c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked EXILE esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsEXILE esports won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 1 WinnerEXILE esports won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 2 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 4 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.