Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9622f4658638e45eb29eb8ab997b36450989341d712cae25c775a268ba00005b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof Meavedron, EXILE esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed EXILE esports | 54c | 2,686$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.7 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Meavedron | 51c | 1,600$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.4 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Meavedron | 52c | 1,401$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.92 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked EXILE esports | 37c | 1,000$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.9 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed EXILE esports | 47c | 970.66$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.62 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked EXILE esports | 52c | 960$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked EXILE esports | 48c | 859.78$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.54 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked EXILE esports | 74c | 804.88$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Meavedron | 54c | 594$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Meavedron | 32c | 272.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 157 | 31.2%49 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…8323backed Meavedron | 80c | 245.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed EXILE esports | 54c | 204.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Meavedron | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Meavedron | 48c | 173.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Meavedron | 52c | 166.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Meavedron | 77c | 160$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Meavedron | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Meavedron | 39c | 133.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Meavedron | 68c | 129.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed EXILE esports | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed EXILE esports | 58c | 107.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed EXILE esports | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Meavedron | 39c | 77.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed EXILE esports | 15c | 72.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Meavedron | 57c | 71.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Meavedron | 42c | 66.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Meavedron | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Meavedron | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed EXILE esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked EXILE esports | 49c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed EXILE esports | 54c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked EXILE esports | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsEXILE esports won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 2 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 3 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 4 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.