TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2057…14ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Baam Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.71
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056.44
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25.7%+$229.79
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$131.33
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$418
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32
LoL: DOCISK vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stagebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.7%+$56.66
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$237.1
LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+77.2%+$317.07
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$27.3
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+65.1%+$317.88
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$636.32
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,429.93
LoL: Caldya Esport vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Dbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+27.9%+$249.31
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,307.95
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$149.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$125.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92%+$458.92
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$401.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+141.9%+$1,643.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$40.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.