Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e64c1132c73cec5e4168876ca162bec6bd845212d52b4fce50688ca0834cef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof Joblife, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked TLN Pirates | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joblife | 54c | 4,304$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.25 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 3,087$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.1 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Joblife | 69c | 3,045$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.13 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed TLN Pirates | 31c | 1,390$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 62c | 1,335$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.69 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Joblife | 68c | 1,306$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…f198backed TLN Pirates | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed TLN Pirates | 48c | 718.79$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Joblife | 29c | 640.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TLN Pirates | 65c | 508.8$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 450$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Joblife | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 280$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joblife | 29c | 240.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked TLN Pirates | 43c | 230.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Joblife | 59c | 227.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed TLN Pirates | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked TLN Pirates | 48c | 207.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 199.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked TLN Pirates | 73c | 170.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Joblife | 56c | 167.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Joblife | 53c | 159.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Joblife | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joblife | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked TLN Pirates | 71c | 140.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked TLN Pirates | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joblife | 54c | 127.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked TLN Pirates | 9c | 120.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Joblife | 72c | 118.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Joblife | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 106.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 103.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 102.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Joblife | 31c | 96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Joblife | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 68.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife | 51c | 66.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TLN Pirates | 45c | 61.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Joblife | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Joblife | 45c | 54.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 51.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Joblife | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Joblife | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…d98abacked TLN Pirates | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TLN Pirates | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 45.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Joblife | 66c | 33.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Joblife | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Joblife | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Joblife | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked TLN Pirates | 76c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerJoblife won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.