TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26c7…264f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT28040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 280 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$17.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Showing 25 of 280 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+93.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+525%+$252
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+302.7%+$902
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$69.48
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+64.5%+$16.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+150%+$24
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+154.4%+$48.1
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.91
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.82
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.03
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+400%+$47.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.