Token Launches · resolved market
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1503c820891a7b60417a2b58f625beb307d407ba733c2b71815a7ac29b691627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,158,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,419,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,158,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x026b…f975backed No | 0c | 174,740$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…4503backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,999.95 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 49c | 60,519$29,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,609.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…0385backed Yes | 53c | 27,067$14,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,756.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 53c | 25,959$13,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,702.97 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 22c | 25,016$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,541.19 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…727dbacked Yes | 51c | 24,337$12,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed No | 50c | 24,209$12,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,030.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…de5dbacked No | 10c | 21,900$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed No | 62c | 21,463$13,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,311.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 50c | 21,411$10,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,775.17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 38c | 20,600$7,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,771.69 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 51c | 19,700$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,684 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 38c | 19,023$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,842.05 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…f578backed Yes | 21c | 18,784$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…d7dbbacked Yes | 31c | 17,790$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,241.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 58c | 17,631$10,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,223.93 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…e549backed No | 30c | 16,727$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 49c | 16,702$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 52c | 16,499$8,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,538.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 70c | 15,859$11,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 43c | 13,813$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…29f7backed Yes | 30c | 13,000$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 18c | 12,428$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,145.46 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 59c | 12,094$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…6c76backed No | 50c | 12,080$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 68c | 12,059$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200.07 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 35c | 11,620$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564.56 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 57c | 11,361$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.48 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 56c | 11,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 50c | 10,784$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 54c | 10,687$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 40c | 10,398$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,198.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 28c | 10,384$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 64c | 9,964$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 24c | 9,927$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.49 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…370abacked No | 80c | 9,917$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,933.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…9ad1backed Yes | 53c | 9,705$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…11f9backed Yes | 43c | 9,608$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 32c | 9,521$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 39c | 9,515$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.86 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 13c | 9,312$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 68c | 9,240$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…b2fabacked Yes | 44c | 9,213$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Yes | 55c | 9,127$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked No | 64c | 8,739$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 61c | 8,261$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.53 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…b126backed No | 78c | 8,000$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 68c | 7,875$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.38 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…5be3backed No | 65c | 7,723$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…46c3backed No | 69c | 7,715$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…533ebacked No | 66c | 7,524$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…fb0bbacked No | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…fdc0backed Yes | 50c | 7,298$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…2558backed Yes | 49c | 7,017$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed Yes | 14c | 7,003$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…46c0backed Yes | 44c | 6,800$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked No | 57c | 6,385$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…0d57backed No | 76c | 6,354$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…804fbacked No | 53c | 6,088$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 48c | 5,868$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…c596backed Yes | 35c | 5,744$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…bcacbacked No | 48c | 5,681$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.16 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 62c | 5,647$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.12 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 62c | 5,622$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 38c | 5,532$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.84 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…8f11backed Yes | 34c | 5,497$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 28c | 5,342$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.83 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 5,178$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.4 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…596fbacked Yes | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked No | 46c | 5,099$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Yes | 22c | 5,077$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 10c | 5,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 45c | 4,998$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…b45ebacked Yes | 49c | 4,981$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…6c47backed Yes | 44c | 4,946$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…7f5fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,878$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked Yes | 62c | 4,700$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 74c | 4,688$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,673$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.16 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 78c | 4,478$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…464bbacked Yes | 31c | 4,242$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed Yes | 53c | 4,023$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 2c | 3,980$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 41c | 3,922$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 60c | 3,861$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.44 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…4141backed No | 59c | 3,843$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…a2edbacked No | 79c | 3,793$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 25c | 3,761$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 48c | 3,620$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 25c | 3,544$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.38 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 36c | 3,528$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.35 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.