Token Launches · resolved market
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ce74a21c1946bcd0f605f809b073536efb17a4eb4183bd5329904781a7cd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,079,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,142,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 909 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 69c | 57,616$39,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,079.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…171abacked Yes | 34c | 35,600$12,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 25c | 23,605$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed Yes | 1c | 22,632$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f247backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed Yes | 44c | 19,808$8,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,647.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Yes | 3c | 18,886$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed Yes | 5c | 16,238$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 80c | 13,850$11,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 64c | 13,100$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked No | 79c | 11,493$9,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 13c | 10,820$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.6 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 32c | 10,525$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Yes | 30c | 10,200$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…d7dbbacked Yes | 13c | 10,100$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…88aebacked Yes | 32c | 9,093$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…0385backed Yes | 17c | 8,943$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 65c | 8,325$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.09 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 57c | 8,102$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.54 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…b2fabacked Yes | 34c | 7,528$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…727dbacked Yes | 35c | 7,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…f578backed Yes | 15c | 6,986$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…4dc0backed No | 77c | 6,791$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…c3fcbacked No | 78c | 6,716$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 6,379$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.35 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…82b8backed Yes | 31c | 6,131$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 66c | 5,973$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.13 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…46c0backed Yes | 34c | 5,800$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 34c | 5,777$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 5,533$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.67 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x158c…8a3fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,032$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…29f7backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…f954backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…a7efbacked Yes | 23c | 4,810$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,713$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.01 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…0cf6backed No | 64c | 4,704$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 69c | 4,692$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.41 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…356abacked No | 65c | 4,650$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 73c | 4,649$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 71c | 4,566$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.42 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…9ad1backed Yes | 32c | 4,184$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…8498backed Yes | 17c | 4,180$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 64c | 4,143$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 22c | 4,124$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 29c | 4,120$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…e9fabacked Yes | 22c | 4,077$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 44c | 4,072$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 25c | 4,061$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 77c | 4,047$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.45 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…a60ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…0aaebacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 25c | 3,863$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 66c | 3,775$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Yes | 37c | 3,773$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 34c | 3,527$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 36c | 3,487$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…4b29backed Yes | 23c | 3,461$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 70c | 3,389$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.34 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…8f11backed Yes | 23c | 3,330$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 61c | 3,260$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed No | 63c | 3,235$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked Yes | 35c | 3,202$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,120$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.11 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 68c | 3,100$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…996dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,057$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +707.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…5c72backed No | 66c | 3,049$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes | 5c | 3,010$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 33c | 2,986$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked No | 60c | 2,944$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 72c | 2,923$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…b1e2backed Yes | 20c | 2,865$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.76 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 66c | 2,859$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,770$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.1 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…596fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,715$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked No | 75c | 2,688$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,668$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…464bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,639$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed No | 72c | 2,603$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…853bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,601$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 65c | 2,600$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,460$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,446$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,387$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.73 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed No | 80c | 2,361$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…5731backed No | 64c | 2,333$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 6c | 2,330$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked No | 63c | 2,217$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,206$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.01 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…009cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,201$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 32c | 2,190$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.55 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…0767backed No | 70c | 2,152$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…bcacbacked No | 63c | 2,150$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.