Token Launches · resolved market
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b42a6d0dd532400b09b1412848593cb842ee22477c2821cc8267533b9249cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,215,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa15…3963backed No | 17c | 48,476$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 4c | 42,021$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.85 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8283backed No | 27c | 35,169$9,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,418.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 71c | 35,113$25,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,076.1 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked Yes | 79c | 23,414$18,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 74c | 20,744$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed Yes | 56c | 20,530$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,975.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 72c | 20,000$14,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 33c | 18,811$6,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 18c | 18,475$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 36c | 17,562$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 62c | 14,635$9,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.73 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 60c | 14,562$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.64 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 12,721$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.4 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…908ebacked Yes | 61c | 12,445$7,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked Yes | 70c | 10,212$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 58c | 10,145$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 25c | 9,414$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed No | 14c | 8,961$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Yes | 73c | 8,383$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 14c | 8,332$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.53 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 75c | 7,984$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…d7dbbacked Yes | 70c | 7,388$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 43c | 7,141$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.16 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 41c | 6,870$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.13 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 26c | 6,702$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…178cbacked No | 6c | 6,109$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 15c | 5,954$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…beb8backed No | 25c | 5,752$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…e549backed No | 23c | 5,441$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 74c | 5,435$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…de5dbacked No | 17c | 5,281$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 78c | 4,577$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.39 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 62c | 4,525$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 16c | 4,500$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.97 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…67d6backed No | 5c | 4,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 67c | 4,482$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 59c | 4,256$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed No | 20c | 4,248$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 66c | 4,086$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…fdc0backed Yes | 33c | 3,927$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 70c | 3,625$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.47 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…0796backed No | 17c | 3,612$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…ec18backed No | 20c | 3,425$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fe4dbacked No | 36c | 3,355$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 8c | 3,347$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 33c | 3,333$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.57 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 13c | 3,181$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…fb0bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,180$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 52c | 3,169$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.38 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1f6abacked Yes | 79c | 3,139$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 42c | 3,115$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 65c | 3,054$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 4c | 3,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 77c | 2,992$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 17c | 2,980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 39c | 2,923$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.5 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked No | 17c | 2,916$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 4c | 2,846$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 57c | 2,800$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,800$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 14c | 2,788$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.94 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 20c | 2,580$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.03 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 77c | 2,569$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.59 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 30c | 2,566$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 78c | 2,550$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 42c | 2,534$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…60e7backed No | 29c | 2,512$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…9937backed No | 18c | 2,418$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 3c | 2,411$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 67c | 2,401$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d30bbacked No | 37c | 2,390$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…41b2backed Yes | 76c | 2,359$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.15 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…c192backed No | 10c | 2,357$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 2,306$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked No | 23c | 2,284$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked No | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 29c | 2,233$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.79 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked No | 19c | 2,015$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…314cbacked No | 10c | 2,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.62 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 8c | 2,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 50c | 1,988$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…6276backed No | 65c | 1,815$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 70c | 1,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 18c | 1,800$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 18c | 1,770$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.91 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…954ebacked No | 66c | 1,683$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 23c | 1,639$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,591$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…16eabacked No | 9c | 1,581$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2f…1601backed No | 27c | 1,570$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…a286backed Yes | 77c | 1,561$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…cf52backed No | 65c | 1,538$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…cba6backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed Yes | 75c | 1,477$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 14c | 1,467$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.