Token Launches · resolved market
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd482510e6cb5848fadf8fd5d3594e97bcdcd69b5026895cc8411ed084834c905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,298,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,583,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,298,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc559…e384backed No | 3c | 98,265$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…0bcebacked No | 1c | 80,508$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed No | 2c | 57,997$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 2c | 35,778$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…36d7backed No | 0c | 28,369$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 0c | 24,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 23,287$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8ccdbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed No | 4c | 18,558$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…138dbacked No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed No | 2c | 14,004$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed No | 2c | 12,563$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…9937backed No | 2c | 12,503$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…c974backed No | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 0c | 11,743$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…53fcbacked No | 4c | 10,901$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…e1a4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…8e32backed No | 0c | 8,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…170ebacked No | 2c | 7,720$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…dcc6backed No | 3c | 7,344$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed No | 1c | 6,613$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked No | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 4,771$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…d8c5backed No | 3c | 4,230$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 1c | 4,068$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…5e0bbacked No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…df08backed No | 1c | 3,518$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 4c | 3,474$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed No | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…7b05backed No | 3c | 2,908$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…0385backed No | 1c | 2,893$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked No | 1c | 2,873$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 1c | 2,819$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 2c | 2,781$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…35c9backed No | 3c | 2,750$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…113fbacked No | 5c | 2,720$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 4c | 2,618$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…6ef0backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…5be2backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -92%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 3c | 2,448$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 1c | 2,433$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…d875backed No | 2c | 2,392$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…2ed7backed No | 4c | 2,358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked No | 2c | 2,188$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…2cafbacked No | 2c | 2,104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 2,059$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…cd62backed No | 2c | 2,031$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…aa7fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,983$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4b…62b3backed No | 2c | 1,963$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…0b54backed No | 2c | 1,945$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…77b8backed No | 1c | 1,944$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…39b6backed No | 2c | 1,913$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 1,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…350cbacked No | 2c | 1,578$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…3d69backed No | 2c | 1,577$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed No | 1c | 1,457$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…03e3backed No | 3c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…2925backed No | 2c | 1,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,335$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a229backed No | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce92…18e7backed No | 2c | 1,328$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed No | 1c | 1,274$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked No | 4c | 1,260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 1,213$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 2c | 1,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 1,113$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…c1c9backed No | 1c | 1,095$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…114cbacked No | 1c | 1,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…c5bcbacked No | 1c | 1,006$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…643bbacked No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…27babacked No | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 4c | 999.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…60cfbacked No | 1c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed No | 1c | 995.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 1c | 940.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…5685backed No | 2c | 931.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…3901backed No | 2c | 929.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa841…f4efbacked No | 1c | 929.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…09fdbacked No | 1c | 919.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked No | 3c | 905.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked No | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…9a91backed No | 2c | 835.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…14eebacked No | 3c | 811.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 3c | 799.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…a34fbacked No | 1c | 784.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…497dbacked No | 2c | 775.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…cc37backed No | 2c | 770$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…75cfbacked No | 3c | 721.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed No | 2c | 707.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed No | 2c | 706$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…9382backed No | 2c | 658$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…a72abacked No | 2c | 638.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…d002backed No | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…7e47backed No | 2c | 593.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…6495backed No | 2c | 578.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.