TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8035…eb6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+566.7%+$113.33
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+203%+$48.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$71.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+809.1%+$161.82
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+707.9%+$283.15
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.