TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c53,671$25,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,628.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c50,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.8931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes30c27,685$8,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,298.1810253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes20c6,147$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,917.153253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c4,845$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c4,127$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.7725544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes23c4,041$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.885038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes75c3,828$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3118748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes22c2,500$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9505242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c2,419$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.0319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c2,301$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.0659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Yes21c2,211$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c6…73a7backed Yes8c2,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No68c1,773$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.657129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes8c1,713$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.854119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,298$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes8c1,274$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.841838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No78c1,214$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.9215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c1,183$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.831,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes23c1,087$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.963324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes19c1,028$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.853158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No78c959.99$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.7941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No78c900$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No78c900$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70216858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No77c858.91$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.3611449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.234129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed No68c748.14$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes21c626.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.24148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c625$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.510765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes56c618.91$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.747050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes73c618.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.296953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes7c571.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.925345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c561.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes49c503.16$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2418358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes20c500$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8913727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes18c483.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick10cpaid+204.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.197427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes58c467.48$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed Yes50c459.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.784037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No79c419.91$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No25c403.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8310042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes6c400$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37610221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No49c396.92$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.878644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…03b4backed Yes18c393.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.581931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No21c384.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes23c374.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.413540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No79c374.33$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabf…832abacked Yes7c362.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+440%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No74c357.9$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes59c332$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.688659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.53941%16 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes26c307.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.691618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2348442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No74c295.24$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.515623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No78c278$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No68c274.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.58959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes55c273.68$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1214658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes69c269.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes48c259.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6718463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c258.67$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.762,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c233.81$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes22c226.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes22c218.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.186637.9%25 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed No21c213.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.762055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.811049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c196$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No59c186.29$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes22c180.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes22c176.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.851637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes76c175$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes75c169.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.813050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes18c169.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8122057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes21c168.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.374320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes75c166.24$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.562075%15 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c165.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c158$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1e…f21ebacked No25c145$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes68c135$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No27c134.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.044411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes26c134.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.625932.2%19 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes40c134$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c133.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583070%21 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…635fbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No77c129.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.