TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1be…d6a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
354
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT7068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.87
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.89
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$181.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$502.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,909.05
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$285.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$158.59
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$147.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,691.49
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$375.16
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$141.47
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$98.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,352
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$64.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.85
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT6953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$168.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$703.01
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.14
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$407
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$336
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+32.4%+$61.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,601
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$399.94
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,887.57
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230.4
England to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,064.06
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,052.87
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$2,030.97
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,653.14
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$1,247.24
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$556.42
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,587.35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$978.39
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,867.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$1,458.04
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$240.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$814.33
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$2,612.19
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$213.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$292.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$358.44
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$1,978.22
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$500
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.37
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$985
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$382.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$143.02
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$323.34
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,455Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$733.38
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28%+$282.21
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.56
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$194.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$66.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,786.45
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$261.39
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.56
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270.88
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,353.64
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26%+$131.03
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35%+$234.63
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.77
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+174.5%+$698.13
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.28
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+422.8%+$1,520.39
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+202.7%+$3,750
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+268%+$1,674.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+202.5%+$683.31
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,743.81
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+87.6%+$43.81
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,363.76
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$685.76
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$421.43
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$241.39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$422.54
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.16
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,178.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.5%+$44.96
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$231.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30.1%+$43.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210.43
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.8
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$127.08
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$197.29
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55.4%+$107
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.4%+$119
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.5%+$72.82
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+48.4%+$38.75
Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$745.29
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$509.9
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$733.77
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$500
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$650.39
FC Lorient vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$321
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$216
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$204.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.57
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$294
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$639
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$244
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+52.2%+$189.85
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.5%+$722.93
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$264
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+168%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+75.2%+$30.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+31.6%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$145.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.