TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,119,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,302,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,119,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 801 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under75c242,811$181,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,533.2974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under66c196,593$129,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,455.222774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c169,560$126,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,177.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over25c120,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,00025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c81,338$24,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,497.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over32c66,823$21,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,434.041060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under73c63,879$46,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,670.21850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under0c49,276$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.289466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over25c45,164$11,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,873.098046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c43,272$15,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,547.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Under78c41,076$31,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,901.043063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over25c40,663$10,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,632.221444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over25c40,500$10,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,3758931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under47c38,270$17,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,889.3214250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c31,034$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3415929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over36c27,912$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,900.339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over25c27,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,249.986050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under74c25,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,399.987163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under74c23,953$17,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,768.142,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over24c20,500$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,577.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Over26c20,215$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,899.6510251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over37c17,245$6,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,902.684459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under65c13,250$8,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,659.2221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Over27c13,160$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,672.572853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over25c13,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,750.378139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under75c12,738$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over16c12,394$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,467.158316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under74c11,766$8,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.2726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c11,483$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,782.291,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Over28c10,875$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8303857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over36c10,328$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,643.6537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under69c10,124$6,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9679341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over28c9,626$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.1217747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under75c8,705$6,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,528.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c8,068$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under73c8,000$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.8215128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c7,819$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c7,407$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.4145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under57c7,030$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under53c6,950$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.8611156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under59c6,814$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.9566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over68c5,992$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.2734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over62c5,964$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.612,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over26c5,769$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.2313811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over58c5,632$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.2225842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Over34c5,566$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.1517229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Over24c5,400$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1041625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over19c5,315$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.0251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under40c5,309$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.599440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c5,087$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.6919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under62c5,000$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.5930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Over21c5,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.996737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over31c4,788$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.9411942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over26c4,231$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.776930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over37c4,173$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.973351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over37c4,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.0521442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over28c3,929$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.5729138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c3,791$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.861,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…cd44backed Under5c3,709$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.361711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+149.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c3,522$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over20c3,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8009126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under64c3,438$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over18c3,422$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.1932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under44c3,417$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.0941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over26c3,333$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.4219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Over34c3,277$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.2617735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over25c3,263$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.1533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over57c3,225$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.949150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under74c3,181$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.241,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over26c3,150$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over26c3,077$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.923125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over26c3,077$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.9232922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under56c3,044$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.782,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c2,951$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.431,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over34c2,934$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over62c2,921$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.4659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c2,885$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under45c2,794$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under48c2,792$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.781,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Over37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.710234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Over25c2,700$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.996338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c2,635$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under43c2,533$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c2,500$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Under6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e5…a5c8backed Under6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over61c2,456$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.9921722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over30c2,416$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0324341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under3c2,330$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c2,299$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over27c2,244$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.158723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.