TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c8,303$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes19c5,737$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0901816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes11c3,627$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3994643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c2,032$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.14,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes8c1,995$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.181,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes11c1,576$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.492,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes19c1,389$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes8c1,355$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.941,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf590…98eabacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002010%2 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-83.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c58…1ac5backed Yes11c1,045$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed No70c999.95$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.988755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…fd32backed Yes11c872.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.942733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Yes30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec4…2a3cbacked Yes2c742.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509357%53 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2190…bee9backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504613%6 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes16c493.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes19c489.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.044814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No80c481.45$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010241.2%42 W · 60 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc07…089fbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes12c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes9c339.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0329813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes8c338.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.282,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes6c321.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145738.6%22 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a64…51d1backed Yes13c299.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes17c285.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85c…a55ebacked Yes23c284.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes18c272.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c73…04f6backed No75c266.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7731…4b48backed Yes19c266.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Yes15c259.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0f…ff68backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes11c244.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621623.1%50 W · 166 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes11c236.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0433729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes12c233.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Yes30c230.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.043735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc023…4d8abacked Yes11c230.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc501…ad27backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b1…03ecbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes11c224.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6945627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes11c199.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Yes11c198.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes11c192.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a7…ab94backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c4…dd99backed Yes17c174.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd305…ecfdbacked Yes18c162.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…f68cbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes11c144.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8719125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8a2ebacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff0…0720backed Yes11c118.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b2…615dbacked Yes13c118.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…6bb6backed Yes17c114.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42fa…1dcebacked Yes9c111.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd68c…2ba5backed Yes18c111.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a6…3461backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a8…613dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe312…c00ebacked Yes11c106.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes13c100.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871b…0915backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f4…4021backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017854.5%97 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6587…6e84backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…0fbabacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18e…5343backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010228.4%29 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae59…849fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104020%8 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9e…d520backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122817.9%5 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116040%24 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f6…610abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes11c98.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Yes17c95.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d80…6760backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…ba97backed Yes19c73.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a3…e23dbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc106…c26cbacked Yes20c56.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118050%40 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes31c49.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No77c39.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.319563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e91…4940backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+93.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No68c27.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.717760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.