TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,586,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,722,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,586,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c402,577$70,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,179.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under26c150,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.9222348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under17c104,067$17,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,500.5636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under22c80,874$17,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,866.861,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c74,533$55,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,638.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under2c67,687$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under15c60,707$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,054.744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over80c58,938$47,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,881.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over77c55,000$42,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,7755366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c50,281$38,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,835.492,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under26c48,441$12,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,373.6514139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over77c44,456$34,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,150.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under19c36,787$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,065.6674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Over74c31,371$23,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,156.352962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under31c29,000$8,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.9325038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over76c27,683$21,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,643.943941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c26,414$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over74c26,351$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.353467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under19c25,776$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.9344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under19c22,960$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,29814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under25c20,399$5,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.735234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under13c19,629$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.7110251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under13c17,392$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.2843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under8c16,800$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34411642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Under25c15,742$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under30c15,700$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.9929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c15,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under16c14,484$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.1110732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under21c14,313$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.761,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over75c13,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under1c13,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Under10c12,505$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.994228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under25c12,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under24c11,757$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.77447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under26c11,110$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.0331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under32c11,020$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under12c10,751$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.0726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over74c10,727$7,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.0270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over75c9,332$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.012962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c9,078$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.9230626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under21c9,074$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.311,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under3c9,072$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under15c8,980$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.9721738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Over75c8,496$6,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under9c8,127$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7222933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…dc43backed Over75c7,931$5,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under12c7,569$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.2638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c7,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under9c7,445$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under19c7,417$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.2210544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c7,138$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c6,339$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under25c6,239$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.6347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over74c5,976$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under4c5,833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under3c5,819$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.439833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under19c5,788$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.121,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c5,750$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.281,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under25c5,600$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under2c5,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under16c5,460$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under13c5,273$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.168672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Over76c4,605$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under24c4,349$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.31,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over67c4,104$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over74c4,006$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.6627032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e68…d2a6backed Under26c3,678$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over77c3,620$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.0659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under19c3,601$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under22c3,548$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under6c3,475$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9913530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under25c3,432$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.1497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.334870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over74c3,243$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.2410261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under18c3,222$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.521,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under1c3,214$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under24c3,075$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…6f20backed Over75c2,934$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.681662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under4c2,908$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1414544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under14c2,736$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Under4c2,543$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.83135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Over79c2,533$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4619737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over76c2,529$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.731,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over76c2,520$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.819062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under26c2,500$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c2,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c2,481$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under9c2,429$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.622932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c2,400$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under25c2,400$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.