TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$519,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec44…c92bbacked Over46c55,000$25,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,699.998521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under55c50,554$27,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,693.078943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over44c40,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.9717852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under54c21,683$11,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,710.966114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c16,968$7,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,428.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under55c13,263$7,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,294.7331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c11,405$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,228.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under57c11,028$6,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,275.967163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c9,088$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.5186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under55c8,339$4,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.5838948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0505740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c7,149$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.672,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under56c6,440$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c5,116$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under54c5,100$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.994746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Under60c4,753$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.797445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c4,524$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d8…655abacked Over44c3,749$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c3,411$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…cc0fbacked Over44c3,339$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over45c3,315$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.272,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over45c3,048$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.2512435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf5…f3e9backed Under55c2,930$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,831$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c2,539$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under56c2,352$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3179647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666e…e195backed Under15c2,341$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.621631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under54c2,300$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2424639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under54c2,259$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.8637754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over45c2,249$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.775959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc62…c963backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c1,974$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.313,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Under55c1,960$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.21747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under59c1,740$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.692,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Under55c1,733$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under11c1,682$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1710420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under59c1,556$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.0316357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over44c1,500$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under56c1,499$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.5716946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under61c1,493$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.7311558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c1,476$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c5d…19bdbacked Under55c1,269$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.7560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over45c1,252$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9922441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Under55c1,156$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c1,123$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.4223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60518448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9515335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over45c1,076$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.351,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under57c1,056$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under55c1,052$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.2732042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under55c1,020$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8911750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under54c887.92$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over42c874$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…bb87backed Over45c829.33$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.133333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over44c809.91$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over45c778.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.641,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c733.91$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under14c700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.676836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c628.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under16c599.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under54c564.3$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…0cc5backed Over44c557.18$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.022937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab02…94eebacked Over45c553.78$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.587450%37 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over45c542.58$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.425545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c512$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.721,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9924247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d96…b432backed Over46c491.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.133351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Over44c460$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.612048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…3efebacked Over45c435$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.256738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Under56c425$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23825937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Under56c419.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under55c400$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21814238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under56c390.88$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under12c387.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.049221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over44c370$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.216655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Under56c366.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.053132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under55c356.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.831,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003718.9%7 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-58.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a0b…8347backed Over44c334.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.182025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3316965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Under12c330.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under54c303.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9116344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c300$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…6c6abacked Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under55c300$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.251,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under10c275.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.573917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Over44c272.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.358231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.