TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Argentinaof Egypt, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4215…f03abacked Egypt0c15,998$48 inLost-$4816831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Egypt5c14,539$753 inLost-$752.952,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Egypt0c14,128$39 inLost-$39.47824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Egypt9c9,843$902 inLost-$902.113751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Egypt5c9,379$475 inLost-$475.3237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd6f…f7e1backed Egypt1c7,130$38 inLost-$38.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Egypt6c5,345$338 inLost-$337.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Egypt1c3,517$38 inLost-$37.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Egypt2c3,435$76 inLost-$76.071,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Egypt8c2,821$218 inLost-$218.277416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Egypt6c2,488$155 inLost-$154.652,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Egypt1c2,000$10 inLost-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Egypt5c1,737$79 inLost-$78.8575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Egypt8c1,539$119 inLost-$119.445326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Egypt6c1,515$93 inLost-$93.192934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Egypt6c1,355$79 inLost-$79.219945.5%45 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Egypt9c1,000$89 inLost-$89.451936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Egypt8c340.5$27 inLost-$273067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5949…534bbacked Egypt9c337.08$30 inLost-$304548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Egypt9c222.22$20 inLost-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed Egypt6c200$11 inLost-$11.44740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71a…f366backed Egypt8c197.43$15 inLost-$158641.9%36 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Egypt8c194.81$15 inLost-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Egypt6c187.28$11 inLost-$10.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Egypt6c185.24$11 inLost-$10.8618628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.