TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf93…e5e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$1,426.14
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,112.9
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$2,022.22
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$1,010.05
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.11
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.73
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$4,263.16
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,657.42
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,756.91
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$489.47
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 0 Everton FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$3,477.29
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.99
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.92
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.4
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$986.66
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,605.35
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+145.4%+$1,453.76
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+86.9%+$930
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+152.5%+$818.27
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+80.7%+$1,856.85
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+80.4%+$936.16
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+34.7%+$47.19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.87
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.33
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.3
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.93
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.02
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.99
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.71
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.43
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+115.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,000
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,225.81
Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)backed Degerfors IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,933.33
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$884.63
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$1,974.09
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$1,012.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.