Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49649ca8b16dd8f1479645fd35684c67a93b35d7b293406ce3ed42616251fe61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 39c | 10,467$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 6,484$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.1 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 3,889$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 1,773$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.57 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 1,656$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.45 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 1,403$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,310$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 822.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 741.68$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 467$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 453.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 58c | 327.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…f676backed Yes | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 77c | 167.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 34c | 151.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 45c | 142.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 64c | 137.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 35c | 137.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 106$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 41c | 104.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 68c | 102.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Yes | 64c | 101.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…eb82backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 47c | 97.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 41c | 94.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 33c | 92.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 25c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 21c | 82.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 49c | 79.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 69c | 72.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 61c | 72.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 47c | 68.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 64.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 64.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 36c | 62.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…5ab2backed No | 71c | 55.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 42c | 52.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 44c | 46.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 64c | 44.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…aeccbacked Yes | 38c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 32c | 37.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 36.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…1cbfbacked No | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 69c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 42c | 34.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…3925backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Yes | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 62c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Yes | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 64c | 28.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 55c | 28.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Yes | 64c | 26.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 74c | 26.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 65c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 62c | 22.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 68c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will Orgryte IS vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.