Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f47a8579b8ef72299dc94beb72d5f402cc18255daeb4ed5fe2fafedc25d484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 4,018$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.14 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 2,809$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 38c | 2,667$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,290$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.01 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,430$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,179$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 11c | 516.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 370.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 63c | 369$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 45c | 277.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 66c | 227.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 36c | 227.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 38c | 216$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 213.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 186.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked No | 63c | 155.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…c958backed Yes | 13c | 146.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…d945backed Yes | 38c | 121.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 117.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 97.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 42c | 96.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 40c | 81.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 79.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 60c | 76.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 69.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 60c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 43.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 64c | 41.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 62c | 20.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Orgryte IS vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.