TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc2f…20a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5839.7%23 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+245%+$121.91
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.99
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$80.88
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.45
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.3
Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Xipto Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$53.62
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.24
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+296%+$57.91
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$128.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.89
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.56
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$52
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.