Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadeeee654dd8de80cc59a79eec20c280a3c409ebbaffae63b711eec3bb6c6373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,137,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,114,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,137,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 115,709$15,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,078.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 14c | 112,916$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 14c | 69,637$9,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,452.86 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 15c | 55,685$8,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,576.23 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.99 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 18c | 31,861$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.39 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 13c | 30,717$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.27 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.96 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 13c | 26,060$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.78 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 16c | 18,650$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.01 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 13c | 11,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 3c | 7,904$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 11c | 7,777$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.69 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 13c | 6,842$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.8 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 6,535$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed Yes | 13c | 5,900$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 13c | 5,759$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.2 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,762$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 13c | 4,400$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 13c | 4,231$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes | 13c | 4,205$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.69 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 13c | 3,840$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 29c | 3,506$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 7c | 3,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,200$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 14c | 3,147$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,700$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 16c | 2,692$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.7 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 13c | 2,630$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,619$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.43 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,615$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 14c | 2,578$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.41 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.42 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,417$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,090$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,086$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,912$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,888$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,866$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 13c | 1,850$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 31c | 1,594$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 13c | 1,550$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,548$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 15c | 1,501$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 11c | 1,487$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 16c | 1,474$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 13c | 1,340$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 80c | 1,316$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes | 12c | 1,313$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 1,280$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,277$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…33f2backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…1f8cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,250$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,247$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,161$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 16c | 1,105$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…d6b4backed Yes | 14c | 1,084$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…7763backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 28c | 1,059$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 13c | 1,038$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 12c | 999.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 13c | 972.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes | 14c | 964.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 14c | 899.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…af90backed Yes | 20c | 871.81$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 3c | 834.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…413bbacked Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…4ae5backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 68 | 5.9%4 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Yes | 14c | 779.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…da8bbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…f052backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ff…6494backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.