TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eb1…96e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT15911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,968
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$122.43
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.34
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.98
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$418.6
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.52
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$74.09
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Ayla Aksubacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$69.31
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripabacked Allura Zamarripa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Brescia: Carole Monnet vs Martina Trevisanbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Parma: Pedro Martinez vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$24.9
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parrybacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.17
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.18
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.75
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henningbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.88
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$98.95
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Polingbacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.02
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Bracebacked Malaika Rapolu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.75
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.41
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+303%+$1,278.19
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.85
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$46.16
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$40.43
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$27.3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$26.62
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.41
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$25.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.05
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$43.67
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.07
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$78.6
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$12.76
Valorant: MIBR vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$23.59
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.53
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.