Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x950985cd1beb5d0058dc8410fb737b92d289df95a2635b9533b5e999b2846487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LOUD | 19c | 3,501$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.81 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG | 80c | 2,488$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.79 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…84aabacked NRG | 61c | 1,203$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed NRG | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked LOUD | 20c | 1,071$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.96 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked LOUD | 38c | 978$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LOUD | 59c | 934.03$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.43 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked NRG | 49c | 759.27$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.28 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed LOUD | 20c | 678.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD | 43c | 663.22$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed LOUD | 50c | 661.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD | 80c | 601$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…394fbacked NRG | 43c | 230.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…31c4backed LOUD | 23c | 170.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LOUD | 63c | 153.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed NRG | 70c | 150.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NRG | 33c | 139.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed LOUD | 20c | 130$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NRG | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked LOUD | 48c | 103.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed LOUD | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked NRG | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LOUD | 57c | 91.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed LOUD | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 69c | 85.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD | 41c | 83.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked NRG | 49c | 74.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed LOUD | 60c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed NRG | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LOUD | 43c | 63.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 56c | 61.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…f813backed NRG | 61c | 60.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOUD | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LOUD | 39c | 58.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed LOUD | 22c | 53.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…6929backed NRG | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed NRG | 63c | 47.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked NRG | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed LOUD | 68c | 35.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked LOUD | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked NRG | 72c | 29.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed NRG | 60c | 27.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NRG | 52c | 25.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NRG | 45c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed LOUD | 76c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed LOUD | 51c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked NRG | 63c | 18.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked LOUD | 70c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NRG | 71c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerLOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.