TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a7…6929

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT7945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$22.86
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$30.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$57.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$34.62
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+226.7%+$170.05
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$66.56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+246%+$61.5
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.93
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$18.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$197.66
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$23.64
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+62.7%+$12.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.27
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.36
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$56.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$27.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.