Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c90390c885be1fb270f09581e241d7b2ebc3c39252df926ee915044c0c3652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad57…cff9backed No | 31c | 4,418$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 18c | 4,008$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.85 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked No | 5c | 2,883$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed No | 3c | 2,599$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed No | 11c | 2,135$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 1,914$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…b327backed No | 4c | 1,649$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 77c | 1,478$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…5436backed Yes | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 33c | 1,259$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.67 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,256$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 27c | 1,252$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 11c | 1,200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 22c | 1,073$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 38c | 961.41$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 940.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 931.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 856.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 77c | 854.94$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed No | 18c | 846.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0017…d924backed No | 4c | 833.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 2c | 801.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 13c | 798.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 21c | 763.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…5b36backed No | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 14c | 721.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 38c | 717.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked No | 41c | 676.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…a088backed No | 41c | 629.36$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…bd61backed No | 3c | 610.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 62c | 584.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 79c | 564.24$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 60c | 561$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 6c | 544.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…c52ebacked No | 9c | 535.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 8c | 533.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked No | 19c | 519.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 27c | 510.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -82%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…69e3backed Yes | 74c | 460$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 48c | 421.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 419.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…9dfbbacked No | 19c | 416.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 5c | 415.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 22c | 400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 17c | 399.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…af55backed No | 24c | 394.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 29c | 392$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 77c | 386.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…0ce1backed Yes | 77c | 383.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 19c | 378.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…3728backed Yes | 72c | 373.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 368.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked No | 26c | 368.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 76c | 338.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…b158backed No | 17c | 334.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 16c | 333.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +16.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7df7…bdaebacked No | 8c | 333.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 61c | 323.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 21c | 321.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 73c | 310.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…8f44backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…ec04backed Yes | 68c | 292.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…205abacked No | 35c | 289.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…fcafbacked No | 26c | 288.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked No | 22c | 279.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…dd42backed Yes | 74c | 279.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 48c | 278$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 32c | 272.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…654ebacked No | 6c | 270.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…1d4cbacked No | 17c | 265.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +818.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…c92dbacked Yes | 77c | 260.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…b157backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 22c | 249.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 78c | 248$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…a58fbacked No | 16c | 238.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 60c | 236.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed No | 20c | 233.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed No | 23c | 230.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…21a8backed Yes | 71c | 220.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 9c | 217.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 21c | 216.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 19c | 213.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 74c | 209$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…98aebacked No | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…5217backed No | 24c | 191.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 79c | 189.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…11c5backed No | 24c | 189.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…6c74backed Yes | 62c | 188.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 69c | 186.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…4bb8backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 46c | 175.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?this page
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?No won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.