TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacc9…c790

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT14731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.14
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$397.5
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.73
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$490
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$1,520
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$385
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.63
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.11
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.07
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.5
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$385
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.96
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.27
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.77
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$1,031.25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.48
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+568.9%+$3,045.27
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$573.32
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$208.52
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+82.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$574
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$605
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+114%+$1,793.86
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.75
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$89.34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.31
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$221.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+816%+$1,899.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+48%+$321.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.58
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.