TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c8,996$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.124,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over53c6,276$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.651650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c6,076$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.143,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c4,784$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.9914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c2,200$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c2,177$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.7712132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over50c1,750$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8704100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over36c1,661$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.26437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under16c1,431$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under1c1,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+283.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c1,150$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over38c1,122$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0711819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over48c1,104$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.468351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.936848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.939348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over39c799.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.992050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over30c728.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.292536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under16c725.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0150949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c622.39$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.38041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over54c451.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.021952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under16c401.6$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7245949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under46c400.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.367950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under63c381.91$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9174657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over59c378.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.436764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over62c370$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.33956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under25c368.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.513728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over55c364.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.154367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over55c354.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.555547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over39c349.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.837263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c325.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over51c303.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.924344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under51c297.63$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.676937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under71c279.04$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0184144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under19c269.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505928.8%17 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over58c172.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.553943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c152.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4575751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over22c149.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9913750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9917458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Under78c128.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over42c119.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.295750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over27c113.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.043441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over18c112.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.255427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under43c110.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over37c107.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over20c102.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.029641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c94.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1269350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x823f…0490backed Over80c89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c88.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0462258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Over61c82.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3312538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c79.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7470050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…262dbacked Under29c79.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over28c76.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.186259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c76.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Under45c75.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.782737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over43c70.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.124163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under58c68.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over45c68.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.895543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa126…5715backed Over76c66.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.05450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over55c54.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.646243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c51.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad4…5654backed Over39c51.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over50c50.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a4…6f3abacked Under47c49.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under47c48.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c48.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9920350.7%103 W · 100 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over55c47.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Under66c46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be3…0893backed Over34c43.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over36c43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.435448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under67c42.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5120253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under47c40.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Over25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb26d…923ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over43c34.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.667251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.