TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Over62c6,001$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6445…a189backed Over63c4,623$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c4,491$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over26c2,158$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.693253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c1,638$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.151,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c1,604$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.762,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over8c1,529$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.9861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over22c1,200$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93811819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over35c1,072$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.092536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under38c1,034$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over64c832.52$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c830.63$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under38c800$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over63c793.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.743775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c715.61$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over39c619.48$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7319662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over35c599.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.993831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c554.46$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.223,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under54c545.92$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c525.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over57c523$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.661250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.823740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over51c500$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.11776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over18c499.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.997644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under37c482.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c445.06$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c404.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c396.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5445450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c345.09$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c322.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.511,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c281.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under73c246.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.936261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under37c220.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6313728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+81.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1463100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+172.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under38c183.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5810046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c174.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.388510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over61c164.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.436861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c155.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under38c140.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Over63c136.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa0…b590backed Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under57c119.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Over62c117.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over57c107$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0110554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over62c106.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.452864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over48c104.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.51450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over40c101.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under71c84.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over64c83.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.117850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3320857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3717458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under42c78.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over22c78.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over63c76.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8824546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under39c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8610450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over55c72.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.618351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.435862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9824…3999backed Over63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2216040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Over33c60.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.565843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under36c54.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Under75c54.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over59c54.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3424757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514a…9c7fbacked Under62c54.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over24c54.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over57c52.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9b…9c7cbacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Under38c48.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under44c48.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2716836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.629857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over28c46.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under43c46.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Under66c46.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa00…3cf9backed Over33c45.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.